Future Silver

Focusing on global aging and advocating the construction of age-friendly cities in the future

Introduction

Background

As the global population rapidly ages, the increasing number of elderly brings unprecedented challenges and opportunities. Under the aging situation, autonomy is crucial for maintaining dignity, happiness and health in old age. As society develops, our elderly care service system must adapt to support their autonomous needs.

What “Future Silver” do?

At “Future Silver,” we explore global aging trends, introduce elderly care models and demographic changes from various countries. Specifically, we focus on the UK as a case study, utilizing data visualization to analyze the supply and demand of elderly care services, helping users understand the phenomenon of aging and the importance of senior autonomy. Additionally, we provide an age-friendly interactive map showing accessible service infrastructures for the elderly, aiding them in planning their future lifestyles.

      Global Trends

Year: 1950

Global Aging Trends

This interactive map provides a comprehensive view of global aging trends, showing the percentage of the population aged 65 and older across different countries from 2022 to 2050. Utilize this tool to explore how demographic shifts are projected to change and impact societies worldwide.

Care Model Examples

In the future, the aging population and the decline of fertility rate will lead to the imbalance of population structure, which also brings challenges to the supply of elderly care services and different types of elderly care service models. For the Chinese model, the burden of family care for the elderly increases; For the UK model, the shortage of nursing manpower will be accompanied by an increase in the financial burden of government; For the US model, the high cost makes the service not available to all. For Japan model, a more serious ageing will bring all these risks to bear. In the face of these challenges, the government needs to develop longer-term policies and strengthen community support. The most important thing is that the elderly need a sense of autonomy and learn to take the initiative to obtain elderly service resources.

      Supply and Demand Analysis

Supply and Demand Map

In the UK, elderly care relies on community practitioners. We analyze regional differences at the MSOA scale in England by examining the employee density in human health and social work activities (supply) and the population density of individuals over 65 years old (demand). By dividing supply by demand, we identify areas where elderly care services are imbalanced, highlighting regions with insufficient or oversupplied services for targeted improvements.

Interactive map

As far as we know, Manchester, a senior city in the United Kingdom, has the greatest supply in all of England. In the future, elderly care will shift from passive to active engagement, necessitating more interactive and convenient solutions. Manchester, with the highest supply of relevant practitioners in England, was chosen for a case study and interactive map implementation. We categorized Manchester's infrastructure into shopping, green spaces, dining, healthcare, and cultural facilities, calculating accessibility within 5, 10, and 15-minute walking distances for the elderly. Seniors can enter their location on the map to see nearby infrastructure within these time frames, helping them plan their activities and access essential services more easily. This approach aims to empower the elderly to actively seek the help and amenities they need.

Conclusion and Limitaion

Aging does not mean disease and death. An aging society should also be dynamic and colorful. Through data and visual analysis, this project demonstrates the challenges of aging and helps people recognize the importance of the autonomy of older people in building age-friendly societies. The Manchester Age-Friendly Interactive Map is a valuable tool to guide and assist older people to better understand and navigate their surroundings, providing a replicable model for other cities. We hope that more people will be involved in the development of age-friendly tools in the future.

For limitations, first, the statistical bar chart of country aging rankings all over the world only includes the past and not the future. Second, in the care model example section, we just selected 4 countries to explain their typical models, but there are also other countries and other models all over the world. Third, the supply analysis only considered individuals engaged in the Human Health and Social Work Activities sector. However, people working in industries such as transportation and food services also have indirect impacts on the aging population that are not taken into account on this map. Last, the elderly care service supply not only includes the infrastructures but also some related industry employees. Just 5 categories of infrastructure are not enough; maybe we could add more categories in the future, or even create a function to update POIs by users. In addition, we only show the major categories, not the subcategories. For example, “Culture Infrastructure” includes POIs from museums, theaters, art galleries, and so on. But all the specific tabs are not displayed on this map.

Reference

Caring.com, 2023. What Are Continuing Care Retirement Communities? [online] Caring.com. Available at: https://www.caring.com/senior-living/continuing-care-retirement-communities/ [Accessed 8 May 2024].

Dixon,J.(2021) Integrated Care Systems Architecture of an ICS and the OD challenge. [PowerPoint presentation] Available at: https://s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/crstl-assets/nscs/files/An-Integrated-Care-System-outine-and-OD-challenges-Norfolk-and-Waveney-ICS.pdf

Hayashi, M. (2015) ‘Japan’s Long-Term Care Policy for Older People: The Emergence of Innovative ‘Mobilisation’ Initiatives Following the 2005 Reforms’, Journal of Aging Studies, vol. 33, pp. 11–21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaging.2015.02.004.

Milliman, 2023. An introduction to continuing care retirement communities. [online] Available at: https://us.milliman.com/en/insight/an-introduction-to-continuing-care-retirement-communities [Accessed 8 May 2024].

Sano, J. et al.(2023)’An overview of systems for providing integrated and comprehensive care for older people in Japan’, Arch Public Health , 81 (2023). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-023-01076-5.

Sheng, X. & Settles, B. H. (2006) ‘ Intergenerational Relationships and Elderly Care in China: A Global Perspective’, Current sociology. [Online] 54 (2), 293–313. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0011392106056747.

Szczepura, A. et al. (2023). ‘Integrated Long-Term Care 'Neighbourhoods' to Support Older Populations: Evolving Strategies in Japan and England’, International journal of environmental research and public health, 20(14), 6352. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20146352.

Check our Team

Jialong Dong

Technology and Visualization Manager Email: 380996012@qq.com

Mingyuan Zhao

Data and Structure Manager Email: 602551101@qq.com

Hanzhi Yang

Design and Research Manager Email: yanghanzhi200102@88.com